The Australian Energy Market Operator may abandon plans to model a ‘gas led recovery’ scenario as part of its 2022 Integrated System Plan, after a proposal to model the Morrison government’s gas market ambitions vision was widely panned by key energy market stakeholders as being unrealistic.
In briefing materials distributed to energy market stakeholders ahead of a workshop on Wednesday, and seen by RenewEconomy, AEMO suggests it will instead model a “zero net emissions” scenario as part of the next edition of the Integrated System Plan, its 20-year planning blueprint, effectively replacing the abandoned ‘gas led’ scenario.
The net-zero emissions scenario will be modelled alongside scenarios based on the current trajectory of the energy market, a sustainable growth pathway and an ‘export superpower’ scenario which assumes a massive ramp-up of an Australian green hydrogen export industry and policies designed to meet the 1.5°C targets.
Photo Credit: RenewEconomy
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